For the benefit of the rest of the sheep:

[redrisingphoenix]

I was thinking today about which clue was genuine between Excel and Taro.

Excel's clue is pretty obvious - Ari is Young Verdant, I'm... well, you know. ugh. Please don't tell Haine. Which would leave Taro as the wolf. My problem with it was that it was too obvious - why would the shepherd give us such an easy clue?

Taro's clue... doesn't really help anyone. It tells us something we knew all along - the Princess is a wolf. My dream already pretty much said that it was the Princess and the Weed, since it's not Ari or Lady Huang.

Thing is, the Shepherd is there to even the odds, right? When we were about to vote Ari out, he gave a second clue about him to Soushi and me and Taro figured out that he was actually a safe and not Bob. Because if we'd have voted Ari out then, we would've lost.

And now, if we vote another sheep out, we'll lose. For a minute, I almost thought we *had* lost - I thought there were only six people left (2 wolves, 4 sheep - when the last sheep got killed tonight, even if we got a wolf, we'd still be at the original number of wolves in the game - we'd lose). But there's seven. We can still pull this off, and that's why Excel's clue was so friggin' easy.

So yes, Excel, I believe you. I don't think you're a wolf. But we're pretty sure Taro is keeping Ari alive because he thinks he can convince Ari of his innocence all the way to the end. If I oppose him publicly, he could possibly decide to kill me off. So I'm going to play it like I believe Taro above Excel in the public post and in Taro's post - yes, he locked a post to me and Ari.

So our plan is to vote out Tetra tonight, since we're almost sure she's the Princess, and Taro tomorrow. Anyone got anything else?

Comments

[redrisngphoenix.livejournal.com]

See, what Ari and I figure is that he's selling out the other wolves - he pointed us to Bob (even though I'd come to the same conclusion myself) and after that started encouraging us to go after Tetra. He's sacrificing the other wolves so that we'll believe him when he says he's not one. All we have to do is vote out one more sheep, and he's won.

As for his dream, we think he's faking so that we'll worry more about chasing the Princess than about looking at him.

[full--of--woe.livejournal.com]

That makes sense. And is admirably cold-blooded, to boot. I prefer not listening to what people say about their own innocence; people will say anything to remove suspicion from themselves.

[redrisngphoenix.livejournal.com]

I'll listen, if they have an explanation that I think makes sense. I wasn't listening to Ari for a while because he wasn't giving me any solid proof that he wasn't a wolf - really, there's not any solid proof until about this point in the game.

But yeah. Sneaky of him, huh?